Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.026036 0.028041 0.030058 0.032236 0.034519 0.036839 0.039370
2025-12-28 0.022731 0.025909 0.029225 0.032930 0.036941 0.041141 0.045859
2026-01-04 0.020377 0.024213 0.028321 0.033023 0.038229 0.043790 0.050156
2026-01-11 0.018460 0.022745 0.027441 0.032923 0.039106 0.045820 0.053621
2026-01-18 0.017357 0.022060 0.027313 0.033551 0.040691 0.048548 0.057786
2026-01-25 0.016031 0.021005 0.026667 0.033498 0.041429 0.050265 0.060767
2026-02-01 0.014891 0.020085 0.026100 0.033467 0.042132 0.051891 0.063606
2026-02-08 0.013864 0.019230 0.025550 0.033399 0.042743 0.053375 0.066252
2026-02-15 0.012919 0.018416 0.024998 0.033281 0.043255 0.054713 0.068705
2026-02-22 0.012101 0.017713 0.024537 0.033236 0.043821 0.056089 0.071185
2026-03-01 0.011211 0.016868 0.023860 0.032887 0.043990 0.056972 0.073068
2026-03-08 0.010250 0.015879 0.022957 0.032218 0.043736 0.057324 0.074299
2026-03-15 0.009230 0.014796 0.021931 0.031412 0.043350 0.057575 0.075494
2026-03-22 0.008883 0.014610 0.022061 0.032073 0.044793 0.060059 0.079406
2026-03-29 0.008339 0.014120 0.021765 0.032166 0.045509 0.061650 0.082237
2026-04-05 0.007767 0.013556 0.021342 0.032068 0.045966 0.062910 0.084661
2026-04-12 0.007502 0.013413 0.021472 0.032684 0.047324 0.065279 0.088443
2026-04-19 0.007020 0.012927 0.021111 0.032632 0.047814 0.066565 0.090894
2026-04-26 0.006580 0.012478 0.020780 0.032602 0.048318 0.067859 0.093354
2026-05-03 0.006160 0.012033 0.020434 0.032535 0.048760 0.069068 0.095704
2026-05-10 0.005753 0.011585 0.020065 0.032419 0.049126 0.070172 0.097919
2026-05-17 0.005395 0.011194 0.019759 0.032374 0.049573 0.071373 0.100254
2026-05-24 0.004976 0.010679 0.019252 0.032031 0.049610 0.072039 0.101911